Comments

  1. PlanB says:

    Trevor Wilson thoughtful article is one up only by the iconic U Pein bridge cica 1850.

    This iconic tourist edifice can be interpret quite a few ways to the fututre task of bringing more freedom.

    Example being this bridge even though for local benefit when built cannot show the, 2 sides one tourists and artisans the other, real citizenry whose life unchanged since the bridge was built.

    Sincerely hope Mr WIlson is not telling us to not mind the pre 1850 BRitish doing that is the biggest challenge looming. The Kala in Yakhine and the Yakhine.

    With recent terrorists activities in near the western part, the west need to be aware of the outcome instead of using the “R” designate which might have consequences beyond the PC effect.

    Encourage the westerners to visit and linger overnight if possible in order to more know the real citizenry of Myanmar.

  2. PlanB says:

    Backlash to Sharia is the reason for Brexit.

    Especially with the election of a mayor that favors continual EU UNCHECKABLE migration policy that has result all over in Europe ONCLAVES of population within city which administer Sharia among themselves that has now readily spilt over within EU cities.

    With this optic very much doubt will influence Myanmar with more succession tendency or otherwise.

  3. The article concludes that a different product is required but fails to mention what that different product may well be.
    Problem is that the export market requires little difference.
    Niche marketing may well be the way out, f.i. organics. Problem then again is lack of sophistication in execution, and lagging behind competitors.
    The best may well be to act as grain store for China, high volumes, low quality. And little profitablility. And no leverage.
    Let’s hope that niche markets open up in China which would prefer Cambodian produce

  4. Chris Beale says:

    This is the sort of excellent article I have come to expect
    from Patrick Jory. He – and ANU’s Professor Andrew Walker – have succeeded in persuading me, through excellent NM pieces, that secession by Isaarn and Lana, would NOT be in the best interests of those regions.

  5. Peter Mony: Good point! There’s a tension between what individual members of the rice industry can and should do on their own, vs. what the government can and should help the overall industry succeed. All countries struggle with this, not just Cambodia. Cambodian policy emphasizes free markets, but in truly free markets, important companies and even industries often fail (“creative destruction”). Cambodia cannot allow the rice industry to fail today, any more than the USA could allow its auto industry to fail in 2008-2009. Yet global oversupply, combined with the sharp downward turn in global trade, has hurt *all* commodity exporters, not just Cambodia. The cash simply doesn’t exist to bail them all out. It is going to take world-class leadership to see Cambodia through this crisis. That’s a lot to ask, from such a small country, in which the opportunity to gain leadership experience has been so limited for so long.

  6. Neptunian says:

    That case is before the International Tribunal. Now here is the monkey wrench in the works ;
    1. The case is supported and backed by the US of A
    2. Joke 1 – The USA is not a member and does not subscribe to that Tribunal
    3. It is supposed to be an International case – The US keeps harping about respecting its findings
    4. Joke 2 – The US have never in its history abide with any International findings if there are not in its (US) favour.
    It is just geo-politics and containment of China’s growth by the US. Asean countries are just so much cannon fodder as far as the US is concerned.

  7. ascaerb says:

    The point of this article is well argued, but I strongly feel that the conclusion is wrong for reasons that are intangible but stem from having lived in Cambodia for 3+ years now. Cambodia will succeed, despite its crooked government and predatory foreign interests.

  8. Peter Mony says:

    I do agree that rice industry need “production” innovation , R&D investment because effective demand there and we have rice branding as a unique already . However that the technical and market points of view but rice industry moves totally depend on “longer visionary leadership for rice industry to growth” from supportive political climate and agriculture ministry leaders , active independence rice working group -CRF as the whole which can move to the right direction in long run. we need the right people to do the right jobs-actions by a real supporting from government ??? and this idea sometime it was contradicted from current political vision because we advised what they do not want to achieve collectively.

  9. Peter Cohen says:

    Malaysia is the loser no matter who wins. The nation long ago entered Monty Python land. To say Malaysia is Orwellian or Kafkaesque would be to diminish two fine thinkers and writers.

  10. R. N. England says:

    Hun Sen holds the trump card while his is the only party that can guarantee good relations with Vietnam. Nobody wants a rerun of 1979, with war between Cambodia and Vietnam, followed by an attack by China on Vietnam, and the US this time supporting Vietnam. The front of Hun Sen’s card says, “It’s me or World War III”.

  11. Neptunian says:

    The worst thing that the DAP has ever done is to join hands with mahathir. many voters (Non malays and some malays) supported DAP, based on their perceived “principles” Joining hands with the old coot simply means DAP has all but abandoned their principles. This has led to an exodus of support, especially amongst the educated Non- malays. The recent buy-election (sorry by-election) showed a poor turn-out by the malaysian Chinese – they are simply showing their disgust at this diabolitical relationship, but unwilling to vote for BN. Only course of action .. stay away.
    My prediction – Pakatan will lose big time in the next general election, and not because of BN’s doing… unless DAP goes back to its roots and re-start its principled approach to Malaysian politics. (The problem with success – it gets to your head)

  12. robert says:

    great article indeed.

  13. John Smith says:

    In some cultures it is not possible to separate religion and ethnic identity, as we do in the West. So the fact that the Chittagonians attend mosques and the Arakanese attend temples is not actually relevant at all. The conflict is between two very different ethnic groups and it is all about land and resources.
    ‘…large scale murder…by the religious hierarchy’. I will also modify my terminology slightly; ‘rowlocks’.

  14. Peter Cohen says:

    Christopher Hitchens, whom I knew, also quipped, “I do not believe in God at all, but I believe in Britain less..” Perhaps, were he still with us, he would change “less” to “not at all”. I make the same comment about Hun Sen. “Not at all”……

  15. James says:

    Wiratu 969 movement of Buddhist nationalism hates Muslims as do many Royalist racist Thai monks

  16. James says:

    Islam is an existential threat to free society, women, LGBT children, so is Buddhism in Burma and Thailand. ASEAN is pathetic because it will not intervene in other nations wrong doing and genocide

  17. Chris Beale says:

    Paul Murat. Very good question. The Japanese have pulled out. It’s now basically a proxy war between China and America.

  18. Rob says:

    You’ve obviously never heard the Sex Pistol’s God Save the Queen.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RvMxqcgBhWQ

  19. Chris Beale says:

    Just because the powers that be – including academic/ diplomatic – do not want secession to happen, does not mean it will not happen. Just ask the EU !!!

  20. Paul Murat says:

    Thank you for your insightful article. I just wonder if you have any comments on foreign stakeholders in Thai conflicts about the succession. Are there any differences between, say Japanese, Chinese, US etc investors in their attitude to the succession?